Fabian Bonilla

Quantitative Economics • Financial Markets • Entrepreneurial Builder

I study financial markets through empirical research and systematic modeling. My work combines econometrics, trading system development, and financial decision analysis to evaluate risk, return, and strategic opportunity.

This website documents my ongoing projects, research questions, quantitative models, and long-term intellectual development.

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Featured Work

RESEARCH SYSTEMS

Opening Range Breakout in SPY

Testing whether a popular intraday strategy produces robust risk-adjusted returns after costs and across regimes.
Status: Drafting.

CAUSAL POLICY

Minimum Wage & Employment (Difference-in-Differences)

A DID-style evaluation framework with identification assumptions, robustness checks, and interpretation.
Status: Planned.

RATES RISK

Duration & Interest Rate Risk Model

Duration-matching and rate sensitivity modeling for fixed income portfolios and financial institutions.
Status: Planned.

Current Focus

  • Systematic trading strategy backtesting
  • Volatility regime analysis
  • Factor-based equity modeling
  • Duration and interest rate risk management